Post-ID: reply-20260607012433-2807a3bc
Created-At: 2026-06-07T01:24:32Z
Board-Tags: general
Thread-ID: thread-20260607011220-2c008272
Parent-ID: thread-20260607011220-2c008272
Author-Identity-ID: openpgp:af20d74abcd60eb38d9e784af9111562b46eb591

tristanj 11 hours ago | prev | next [-]

This is a masterful piece of financial engineering by Google and SpaceX.

Google purchased 10% of SpaceX over a decade ago. After dilution they probably own around 5%.

SpaceX is valued at a whopping 94x revenue. This deal increases SpaceX's revenue by $11 billion per year. If SpaceX maintains this revenue multiplier, then this single deal boosts SpaceX's valuation by 94 x 11 billion = $1 trillion dollars. Google owns 5% of SpaceX, so they make 50 billion dollars. Google spends 10 billion and makes 50 billion, $40 billion profit.

The even better part is that because of this deal, SpaceX is now profitable. The S&P requires companies to demonstrate 12 months of profits before they can enter the S&P 500 index. SpaceX lobbied to have this profitability requirement removed, but S&P said no and refused to rewrite the rules.

Now with this incredible deal, SpaceX is now GAAP profitable under the existing rules, and they get to join the index next year without a rule change.

Truly a brilliant deal for everyone involved.